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Max Verstappen enters the final four races 36 points off the championship lead, a deficit reduced from 104 after Zandvoort. The title fight tightens, but the margin remains significant.
Martin Brundle assesses the landscape and doubts Verstappen can overturn it. He projects a McLaren driver, Lando Norris or Oscar Piastri, as the most likely champion.
McLaren’s form underpins that view. The team leads the constructors with 713 points, while Norris edges Piastri by a single point in an ultra-tight intra-team contest.

The run-in covers Brazil, Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. McLaren is expected to hold an edge at Qatar and Abu Dhabi, tightening Verstappen’s already narrow window.
That demands Austin-style execution: strong qualifying, clean starts, and strategic clarity. Any misstep amplifies the gap when both McLarens convert opportunities.
Verstappen also lacks a reliable rear gunner. Against two front-running McLarens, Ferrari and Mercedes frequently intervene, skewing podium points away from Red Bull.
McLaren’s constructors lead speaks to consistent car performance and slick operations. Even small gains in tyre warm-up or pit-cycle timing can decide podium order.

The Norris–Piastri dynamic is pivotal. If the pair fight too hard or make errors, Verstappen can harvest points; if they cooperate, his path narrows further.
Points dilution also matters. With Ferrari and Mercedes regularly in the top three, Verstappen often faces a three-way contest for the same finite haul.
Brazil and Las Vegas could be Verstappen’s best scoring opportunities. He must optimize damage limitation where McLaren is stronger, notably Qatar and Abu Dhabi.
Verstappen’s surge confirms elite execution under pressure. Yet, unless McLaren stumbles, the balance of probability stays with Norris or Piastri to close this out.

Daniel Miller reports on Formula 1 Grand Prix weekends with race-day analysis, team-radio highlights, and point-standings updates. He explains power-unit upgrades, aerodynamic developments, and driver rivalries in straightforward, SEO-friendly language for a global F1 audience.