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Can Verstappen Secure the Title with His Current Winning Form?

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Table of contents

Highlights

  • Verstappen trails leader Piastri by 40 points with five races left
  • Norris is 14 points behind Piastri in the 2025 championship battle
  • Verstappen won multiple races at upcoming tracks this season
  • Post-summer, Verstappen averages 23.8 points per race versus McLaren’s 12
  • Piastri’s best Mexico City finish is eighth; Norris won Abu Dhabi
  • Final races crucial for title, with close points and strong competition

Max Verstappen narrows the gap to Oscar Piastri with five rounds left, sitting 40 points off the championship lead. The title fight tightens as the calendar heads to decisive venues.

Lando Norris remains firmly in contention, trailing Piastri by 14 points. McLaren’s duo keeps the pressure on as margins shrink at the top.

Buoyed by his Austin victory, Verstappen says “the chance is there” for a fifth straight title. His recent form shifts momentum toward Red Bull.

Lando Norris celebrates as the title battle intensifies against Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri
Image Credit: The Independent

Whether that pace sustains through the final stretch depends on execution. McLaren’s consistency means any misstep could swing the balance.

Verstappen’s record at the remaining tracks is imposing: five Mexico City wins, three in São Paulo, one in Las Vegas, two in Qatar, and four in Abu Dhabi.

Including last year’s São Paulo Sprint victory, his portfolio strengthens. Yet a clean Verstappen sweep still might not suffice if Piastri finishes second throughout.

Even with a clean sweep, Verstappen could still lose the title by three points if Piastri finishes second in every remaining race.

Piastri’s returns at these venues are mixed. His Sprint victories have come in Qatar, and his best Mexico City finish is eighth.

Norris brings stronger recent markers: an Abu Dhabi Grand Prix win last year, the 2024 São Paulo Sprint, and second place in Mexico City last season.

Max Verstappen focuses on closing the championship gap in the final five races
Image Credit: Autosport

Form since the summer break underlines the trend. Verstappen averages 23.8 points per race, compared to 12.4 for Piastri and 11.4 for Norris.

Projected on current averages, Verstappen reaches 426 points, finishing 20 clear of Piastri and 39 ahead of Norris.

Average finishing positions tell a similar story. Verstappen sits at 3.3, with Norris at 5.9 and Piastri at 7.6, reflecting a race-day execution edge.

For McLaren, strategy discipline, tyre management, and qualifying sharpness are critical. Denying Verstappen track position will be central to limiting damage.

“The chance is there,” says Verstappen after winning in Austin, as Red Bull’s operational sharpness underpins his late-season surge.

Red Bull’s cleaner weekends post-break have yielded efficient points hauls. Maintaining reliability and pit stop precision will be decisive.

Sprint sessions at selected events can add volatility. They also offer McLaren opportunities to disrupt Verstappen’s rhythm and chip away at momentum.

With Mexico City, São Paulo, Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi ahead, marginal gains matter. Small setbacks could determine this tightly poised contest.

The title remains open, but Verstappen’s trajectory is upward. McLaren must convert opportunities to ensure this fight goes to the final laps in Abu Dhabi.

Visual Summary


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Piastri
Norris
Verstappen


Verstappen closing in, Piastri still leads!
With 5 races left, it’s a high-altitude fight:
Piastri leads, Norris close behind,
but Verstappen is gaining fast.
If his momentum holds, their summit is in reach.

23.8 pts/race
Verstappen
since summer
12.4 pts/race
Piastri
11.4 pts/race
Norris


5 climbs remain. The chase is on.
Can Verstappen summit, or will McLaren hold the peak?
Daniel miller author image
Daniel Miller

Daniel Miller reports on Formula 1 Grand Prix weekends with race-day analysis, team-radio highlights, and point-standings updates. He explains power-unit upgrades, aerodynamic developments, and driver rivalries in straightforward, SEO-friendly language for a global F1 audience.

Articles: 1608

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