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Yuki Tsunoda’s Red Bull future is under scrutiny after a subdued 2025 campaign. Since replacing Liam Lawson from round three, he has scored nine points in 14 starts.
Expectations at Red Bull remain exacting. Tsunoda has not consistently matched the team’s performance baseline and has struggled to convert opportunities into solid points.
Internal pressure is intensifying. Rookie Isack Hadjar’s form with the junior Racing Bulls outfit strengthens his candidacy and sharpens Red Bull’s evaluation for 2026.

Fan sentiment mirrors the pressure. A RacingNews365 poll shows over 80% doubt Tsunoda will be at Red Bull in 2026, with 60% expecting him off the F1 grid entirely.
A further 21% view a Racing Bulls return as plausible, while only 18% believe he stays with the senior team next season.
On track, extracting performance from the RB21 has proven difficult relative to teammates. That trend limits his points ceiling and narrows strategic options in races.
The competitive context is stark. With Max Verstappen leading the team’s points tally, Red Bull measures contribution against a dominant benchmark.
Line-up planning intensifies ahead of the 2026 rules reset. Power unit and aero changes will reward durability, development feedback, and consistency under the cost cap.
Red Bull’s driver pipeline creates credible alternatives. That elevates the bar Tsunoda must clear to justify continuity into the next regulations cycle.

The decision window will tighten through the late-season flyaways. Red Bull typically values sustained scoring, low-error execution, and alignment with car development priorities.
Hadjar’s upward trajectory heightens the comparison. Any further missed opportunities from Tsunoda could accelerate a change in Red Bull’s depth-chart order.
The coming weeks therefore carry career-defining weight. Tsunoda must turn race pace into repeatable points to stabilize his standing within the wider motorsports landscape.

Daniel Miller reports on Formula 1 Grand Prix weekends with race-day analysis, team-radio highlights, and point-standings updates. He explains power-unit upgrades, aerodynamic developments, and driver rivalries in straightforward, SEO-friendly language for a global F1 audience.